Re: Man Bites Dog (945 Views)
Posted by:
Furious Pete (IP Logged)
Date: May 12, 2018 01:41PM
You're correct about that, but the horses don't know how their sheet look like either. The intangibles matter, in particular in a race such as the derby.
That said I'm still not sure that Always Dreaming was a good bet last year, at least not at the price he went off at. Good Magic would certainly have had that 25 % chance of winning it last year, if not better. Practical Joke almost certainly had not. Even though their sheets looked almost exactly the same.