Re: Exacta Best Value in Racing? (975 Views)
Posted by: Boscar Obarra (IP Logged)
Date: July 25, 2019 05:13PM
Not sure the 23% thing can be used as is
If you actually like something to beat the favorite , and the favorite doesn't have some giant hole, its better than 23% to run second IF!! you are right about your horse . And if you're not, you are going to lose anyway. Seems whimpy to go heavy with the chalk under. Doesn't mean its wrong.
As you suggest, it's about a race by race analysis.
In general , I'd say the chalk is underused, or put another way, stabbers/wheelers overbet the longshots underneath.
If you actually like something to beat the favorite , and the favorite doesn't have some giant hole, its better than 23% to run second IF!! you are right about your horse . And if you're not, you are going to lose anyway. Seems whimpy to go heavy with the chalk under. Doesn't mean its wrong.
As you suggest, it's about a race by race analysis.
In general , I'd say the chalk is underused, or put another way, stabbers/wheelers overbet the longshots underneath.
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