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 Race of the Week:  The Hockessin Stakes Delaware Park, Race 6, July 13, 2019 
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Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (308 Views)
Posted by: toppled (IP Logged)
Date: August 24, 2019 03:18PM

In theory what you wrote sounds good, but it doesn't match the actual payoffs that show the P6 vs P5 is a lot closer than you're thinking. I still believe the P6 is the better play. Here are the payoffs each day since it began. Keep in mind that the buy in for the P6 (20 cents) is 60% cheaper than the P5 (50 cents) for 1 more race. The cheaper price gives you more opportunities to spread especially if you like fewer than 3 horses in the 1st leg of the P6. Based on your theory, shouldn't the P5 be paying more since it costs 2.5 more than the P6 and has a better takeout? The payoffs don't match your theory. For today's card, I would say many could have singled the 1st leg of the 6 and have more options to spread in later races. Any time the 1st leg can be had with a single, P6 is the way to go.

8/7 P5 $644 P6 $621
8/8 P5 $37,191 P6 $3,308 (5/6)
8/9 P5 $13,804 P6 $9,950
8/10 P5 $486 P6 $999
8/11 P5 $4,451 P6 $1,997
8/14 P5 $13,044 P6 $25,145
8/15 P5 $739 P6 $706
8/16 P5 $676 P6 $968
8/17 P5 $1,855 P6 $4,949
8/18 P5 $2,565 P6 $12,547 (mandatory payoff)
8/21 P5 $4,515 P6 $37,064
8/22 P5 $430 P6 $3,825
8/23 P5 $2,124 P6 $1,907



Subject Written By Posted
Travers 150 Pick 5 (963 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 07:04AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (487 Views) johnnym 08/24/2019 08:16AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (466 Views) toppled 08/24/2019 09:09AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (423 Views) BB 08/24/2019 09:29AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (458 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 09:35AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (411 Views) toppled 08/24/2019 11:04AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (240 Views) Fairmount1 09/02/2019 06:27PM
Re: Pick 5 or Empire 6? (261 Views) Mathcapper 09/02/2019 11:00PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (209 Views) johnnym 09/03/2019 07:10AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (308 Views) toppled 08/24/2019 03:18PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (426 Views) wrongly1 08/24/2019 09:25AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (483 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 09:39AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (320 Views) Fairmount1 08/24/2019 03:04PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (333 Views) johnnym 08/24/2019 03:06PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (529 Views) Silver Charm 08/24/2019 03:22PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (430 Views) johnnym 08/24/2019 03:23PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (447 Views) milwmike 08/24/2019 03:34PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (613 Views) swale 08/24/2019 07:44PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (522 Views) Silver Charm 08/25/2019 10:29AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (467 Views) P-Dub 08/24/2019 05:10PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (466 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 05:12PM


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