Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (847 Views)
Posted by: toppled (IP Logged)
Date: August 24, 2019 03:18PM

In theory what you wrote sounds good, but it doesn't match the actual payoffs that show the P6 vs P5 is a lot closer than you're thinking. I still believe the P6 is the better play. Here are the payoffs each day since it began. Keep in mind that the buy in for the P6 (20 cents) is 60% cheaper than the P5 (50 cents) for 1 more race. The cheaper price gives you more opportunities to spread especially if you like fewer than 3 horses in the 1st leg of the P6. Based on your theory, shouldn't the P5 be paying more since it costs 2.5 more than the P6 and has a better takeout? The payoffs don't match your theory. For today's card, I would say many could have singled the 1st leg of the 6 and have more options to spread in later races. Any time the 1st leg can be had with a single, P6 is the way to go.

8/7 P5 $644 P6 $621
8/8 P5 $37,191 P6 $3,308 (5/6)
8/9 P5 $13,804 P6 $9,950
8/10 P5 $486 P6 $999
8/11 P5 $4,451 P6 $1,997
8/14 P5 $13,044 P6 $25,145
8/15 P5 $739 P6 $706
8/16 P5 $676 P6 $968
8/17 P5 $1,855 P6 $4,949
8/18 P5 $2,565 P6 $12,547 (mandatory payoff)
8/21 P5 $4,515 P6 $37,064
8/22 P5 $430 P6 $3,825
8/23 P5 $2,124 P6 $1,907



Subject Written By Posted
Travers 150 Pick 5 (2058 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 07:04AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (1074 Views) johnnym 08/24/2019 08:16AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (1066 Views) toppled 08/24/2019 09:09AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (969 Views) BB 08/24/2019 09:29AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (1005 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 09:35AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (957 Views) toppled 08/24/2019 11:04AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (886 Views) Fairmount1 09/02/2019 06:27PM
Re: Pick 5 or Empire 6? (904 Views) Mathcapper 09/02/2019 11:00PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (808 Views) johnnym 09/03/2019 07:10AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (847 Views) toppled 08/24/2019 03:18PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (1044 Views) wrongly1 08/24/2019 09:25AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (1047 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 09:39AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (816 Views) Fairmount1 08/24/2019 03:04PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (914 Views) johnnym 08/24/2019 03:06PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (1316 Views) Silver Charm 08/24/2019 03:22PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (1050 Views) johnnym 08/24/2019 03:23PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (1028 Views) milwmike 08/24/2019 03:34PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (1272 Views) swale 08/24/2019 07:44PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (1103 Views) Silver Charm 08/25/2019 10:29AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (1059 Views) P-Dub 08/24/2019 05:10PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (1042 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 05:12PM


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