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Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (478 Views)
Posted by: toppled (IP Logged)
Date: August 24, 2019 03:18PM

In theory what you wrote sounds good, but it doesn't match the actual payoffs that show the P6 vs P5 is a lot closer than you're thinking. I still believe the P6 is the better play. Here are the payoffs each day since it began. Keep in mind that the buy in for the P6 (20 cents) is 60% cheaper than the P5 (50 cents) for 1 more race. The cheaper price gives you more opportunities to spread especially if you like fewer than 3 horses in the 1st leg of the P6. Based on your theory, shouldn't the P5 be paying more since it costs 2.5 more than the P6 and has a better takeout? The payoffs don't match your theory. For today's card, I would say many could have singled the 1st leg of the 6 and have more options to spread in later races. Any time the 1st leg can be had with a single, P6 is the way to go.

8/7 P5 $644 P6 $621
8/8 P5 $37,191 P6 $3,308 (5/6)
8/9 P5 $13,804 P6 $9,950
8/10 P5 $486 P6 $999
8/11 P5 $4,451 P6 $1,997
8/14 P5 $13,044 P6 $25,145
8/15 P5 $739 P6 $706
8/16 P5 $676 P6 $968
8/17 P5 $1,855 P6 $4,949
8/18 P5 $2,565 P6 $12,547 (mandatory payoff)
8/21 P5 $4,515 P6 $37,064
8/22 P5 $430 P6 $3,825
8/23 P5 $2,124 P6 $1,907



Subject Written By Posted
Travers 150 Pick 5 (1291 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 07:04AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (662 Views) johnnym 08/24/2019 08:16AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (623 Views) toppled 08/24/2019 09:09AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (594 Views) BB 08/24/2019 09:29AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (612 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 09:35AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (579 Views) toppled 08/24/2019 11:04AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (466 Views) Fairmount1 09/02/2019 06:27PM
Re: Pick 5 or Empire 6? (494 Views) Mathcapper 09/02/2019 11:00PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (403 Views) johnnym 09/03/2019 07:10AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (478 Views) toppled 08/24/2019 03:18PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (635 Views) wrongly1 08/24/2019 09:25AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (643 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 09:39AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (452 Views) Fairmount1 08/24/2019 03:04PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (522 Views) johnnym 08/24/2019 03:06PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (755 Views) Silver Charm 08/24/2019 03:22PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (661 Views) johnnym 08/24/2019 03:23PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (674 Views) milwmike 08/24/2019 03:34PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (819 Views) swale 08/24/2019 07:44PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 - So the TVG Announcer Who Said (722 Views) Silver Charm 08/25/2019 10:29AM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (673 Views) P-Dub 08/24/2019 05:10PM
Re: Travers 150 Pick 5 (649 Views) FrankD. 08/24/2019 05:12PM


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