Re: Ghostzapper (479 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: September 13, 2004 02:02PM
Just to make one point clear-- when I agreed that variations in pace could affect a figure, what I meant was that they can affect final time of the race, and we would then adjust the figure SLIGHTLY. Exception would be a very slow pace, where the adjustment is often more than slight.
I definitely do NOT agree with your point about horses behind a fast pace. If you want to say that there are occasionally times a very hot pace causes front runners to spit it out, I'll agree with you, but there is no evidence (or physiological logic) that would cause "less classy" animals to not handle a pace they themselves were not part of. A far more likely explanation here is that one horse ran back to one of his huge figures, one jumped up for a trainer who once again is getting some huge jump up figures (Allday?), and the rest ran somewhere in the vicinity of what they usually run-- and that's just looking at the gaps, never mind the fast time, weight etc. If the front two had come back to earth in the stretch the performances of those behind them would have looked just fine.
TGJB