johnnym Wrote:
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> I love SL
> Classic Tri key horse


no offense, but betting an 8-5 to hit the board on your trifecta is not a good EV move unless you happen to have an additional key that is a price. In this race, SL was the heavily bet favorite yet going in he clearly couldn't hold a candle to the two obvious fastest horses. Those two hooked up for a $56 exacta. It is pretty rare that you have a Grade 1 race and the obvious two fastest horses will pay that generously in an exacta. SL, while very talented, is a classic type of horse that makes his own trouble. If that Japanese horse had been ridden by any other non-japanese jockey at the track, SL would never have ended up in the Derby exacta and being DQ'ed there would not have been a bad beat. The only reason he didnt come down was because in Japanese culture it is viewed as an affront or insult to the stewards if you claim foul. SL's jockey was fined for the foul instead changing the finish positions. How often do you see that?