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Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (429 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: November 28, 2004 06:03PM

>some guys gave lion tamer a huge new top in his previous race. i guess that frankel horse that beat him, mass media, is a real freak. you had to assume that LT really did improve that much and the last was not a fluke.<

Not sure whose figures you are referring to, but IMO yesterday's win for Lion Tamer had little or nothing to do with him running a new top in this race or his last race.

People that believe that pace doesn't mean much might assign him a new top for yesterday's race in order to fit everyone else's figures into place. However, without even trying to make figures for yesterday I am fairly certain that would be a misunderstanding of the result.

No matter what figure makers give him for yesterday's Cigar (depending on methodology), the primary reason he won is that all the contenders that looked a little faster or more likely to improve used themselves hard early and thus ran slower than they would have under an average pace scenario. This gave him an advatage.

IMO, it couldn't be clearer going in that there was some potential for a duel setting it up for a closer. IMO, the race development (visually and fractions) and results are too obvious to think that pace wasn't a factor in the outcome.



Post Edited (11-28-04 18:12)



Subject Written By Posted
ROCKPORT HARBOR (667 Views) marcus 11/27/2004 04:40PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (401 Views) Michael D. 11/28/2004 09:49AM
ROCKPORT HARBOR & Purge (411 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 11/29/2004 01:14AM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR & Purge (445 Views) TGJB 11/29/2004 02:10PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR & Purge (391 Views) 11/29/2004 02:41PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR & Purge (390 Views) TGJB 11/29/2004 03:44PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR & Purge (430 Views) 11/29/2004 04:12PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR & Purge (431 Views) TGJB 11/29/2004 04:31PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (394 Views) Michael D. 11/28/2004 10:17AM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (443 Views) marcus 11/28/2004 11:39AM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (421 Views) big ant 11/28/2004 10:54AM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (433 Views) jimbo66 11/28/2004 11:29AM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (424 Views) 11/28/2004 12:10PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (434 Views) Michael D. 11/28/2004 12:15PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (429 Views) 11/28/2004 06:03PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (428 Views) Michael D. 11/28/2004 06:18PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (450 Views) Michael D. 11/28/2004 06:26PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (433 Views) 11/28/2004 06:44PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (450 Views) Michael D. 11/28/2004 07:09PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (428 Views) jimbo66 11/28/2004 07:38PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (469 Views) Michael D. 11/28/2004 07:52PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (441 Views) 11/28/2004 08:13PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (472 Views) Michael D. 11/28/2004 08:26PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (422 Views) 11/28/2004 08:37PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (459 Views) Michael D. 11/28/2004 08:43PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (436 Views) 11/28/2004 08:10PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (440 Views) 11/28/2004 08:04PM
Re: ROCKPORT HARBOR (522 Views) ezgoer89 11/28/2004 12:34PM


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