I know it is a bit early and we still have the PP draw, but I have to say from a pure TG perspective, Exaggerator is an absolute standout. I am not "old school sheets" where a number is a number regardless of trip, distance, surface, bias, etc.etc. I believe all numbers have to be looked at through the lens of all those factors.

But that said, Exaggerator is co-fastest this year. Has a beautiful sheet. 9 races over the 2 seasons and gone backwards exactly once. A solid 2-year old top, followed by 3 good races this year. He is 3 points faster this year, but is by a late developing sire whose progeny develop 5 points on average from 2 to 3. Spacing is fine and you get a hall of fame jockey who has won 3 derbies. Price not great, but not favored. Maybe 6-1 or so.

Yes, the new top was a on a wet track but he has run fast on a dry track too and really is sort of neutral on wet track breeding.

Which contender looks as good as he does on sheets?

Rob