Re: California Beyers (444 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: March 04, 2005 08:26PM
Leaving now, but a couple of things-- it's not about whether a figure is sensible, it's about whether it's right. Horses develop at different rates-- the question is not how much horses develop on average (we use the TGI for that), but how much THIS one developed. It would be a very big mistake to make figures based on projected development.
The problem (or one of them), as I said, is the Beyer relationships between California and all other tracks-- if you want to say they have all the other tracks slow relative to CA, fine. The problem is systemic, independent of blowing individual days/races. And incidentally, not that it would necessarily be meaningful, look at the raw times for the Strub and San Antonio, run on consecutive days at the same distance.
Good night.
TGJB