Re: California Beyers (438 Views)
Date: March 04, 2005 10:46PM
>Horses develop at different rates-- the question is not how much horses develop on average (we use the TGI for that), but how much THIS one developed. It would be a very big mistake to make figures based on projected development.<
I agree.
I didn't even make a figure for that race.
However, I was expecting RHT to move forward off his sprint and a 109 Beyer was within the range I was expecting based on his overall record. I agree that it is possible they overstated that figure by a few points (which would mean that Going Wild might be off a little too). I'm too lazy to go back and check it because I don't think a few points will change my view on this race.
Maybe we will learn more tomorrow, but I suspect that other than St. Liam, most of the other contenders are so similar in ability that whoever gets the best trip or improves a bit will get second money.