ant,
if you're picking 5/2 shots that are crossing the wire first you are definitely doing something right. key a winning 5/2 shot in a 20 horse field and you have a decent shot of making some good money. i like BM, but i think i will go with noble causeway if the odds stay where they are. zito has been thinking derby from day one with this guy, and i think the pattern is a forward moving one. i like the breeding as well, especially on the dam side. i will have to use BM as a saver though. good luck.