Re: Bellamy Road (357 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 15, 2005 12:59AM
lets assume for the sake of arguement Bellamy did in fact run a legitimate negative 4 in the Wood. When Smarty ran his negative 3.3 he regressed in his next start.
Add to the equation that Smarty had a more solid foundation of low figures. (If i'm not mistaken he ran a Zed as a two year old). Everyone predicted he would come unglued before he accomplished major success. Of course it didnt happen and he even took away some laurels from a valiant Belmont loss. You can argue the point, but its likely he retired much closer to sound than off. The point being, if BR ran a neg 4 is it time for a regression? Especially if he encounters pace pressure and a more energy taxing surface, not to mention traffic or adversity?
Lastly of course, theres no such thing as a handridden fast time. Provided you think it was fast. I dont, so i'm not as concerned about a bounce. I think hes gonna have to run better to win and beat my horse. But, I also dont think an improvement is in the cards. :)
CtC