Re: Bellamy Road (405 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 15, 2005 12:28PM
Lets wait and see how bad my logic is. Ghostzapper has a hole drilled in his head and is setting up to one turn mile. Bellamy Road has won 2 races by a combined 33 lengths, has beaten nothing and looks to be a golden opportunity. You still gotta pick the winner and I wont spread unless I think I have a horse like Sweet Cat in my sights. With BR lets say hes 9-5 (He could even be less depending on the final prep results) Depending on how crazy the public gets with Bellamy I may go two deep, but I have my horse barring something unforeseen in the remaining preps. As I said I could lose to him even if I'm correct a figure of about a zed makes him Derby competitive. Perhaps even ideally form positioned. But I think 9-5 is shallow when I currently rate his fair odds closer to win the race at about 20%. If he beats me at 9-5, I just say "Good Race, I went against a shallow favorite in a tough race, TGraph prolly got it right and I apologize." If I beat this horse with a 25-1 winner everyone proclaims me Pope and Jerry changes my moniker to "Chuckles the Magnicent Clown". Its a no lose situation. :)
I'd point out the track Records at Aqueduct:
6 marks 1.07.2
7 marks 1.20.0
9 marks 1.47.0
Are you aware that they tied the 6 furlong mark in the Carter, running a 7 mark race and that they only missed the 7 furlong mark by 2 clicks and that Bellamy more or less tied Riva Ridge's 9 mark record there? I think the two turn part of the track was at least as quick as the one turn part of it.
CtMC
Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.