Clown,

Afleet Alex will be 10 lengths off the pace in the Derby and will need to negotiate a trip.

I would have thought a "pace handicapper" like yourself would realize that. The Arkansas Derby had the slowest pace figure of any of the major preps, that is why AA was 3.75 off the lead.

That said, there is nothing wrong with being 10 lengths off a hot pace, as long as Rose negotiates a hot pace.

If AA is only 3 lengths off the lead in the Derby that would actually be a bad thing for him, it probably means the pace is slow and Bellamy will be hard to beat if he gets to the half in 47.