Re: Beyer Gems in no Specific Order (338 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: May 04, 2005 01:09PM
bloodline bob wrote:
> Beyer in today's form seems to conclude that the five "2 prep"
> horses aren't seasoned enough to win. He's right. But then he
> reverses course and says since they are so numerous one of them
> will probably win. But if Afleet Alex wins he'll be saying I
> told you so.
>
> Great article but then he got weak in the knees at the end.
>
That article was mind numbing. Beyer wrote a whole page on the importance of preps and at the very end said the odds were that a horse would win the race overcoming all the historical data, without mentioning Bellamania who he said last night would win the Derby on, you guessed it, Two Preps. He then fell over on himself and covered that prediction with some lip service to Afleet Alex falling within the guidelines.
Well, the guidelines are Voodoo and Zito said it best. The reason the horses are being brought to the Derby on light campaigns is that they can't stand training and racing at the level of effort being massaged out of them in the new era. Its certainly possible that Bellamania would have won the Derby on April 9th. Will he win it on May 7th?