Re: CH/CtC - Over-estimation of the Pace Impact (406 Views)
Posted by:
NoCarolinaTony (IP Logged)
Date: May 10, 2005 05:32PM
Jimbo,
There was lot to consider: You had all the wise guy trainers using only 2 race preps for instance, you also had guys running off of 4 or 5 race foundation races in total. You had some horses running off of 5 weeks rest, and you had a bunch of people assuming that CA racing was slow(er).
I think it was safe to assume that many of us thought the pace was going to be fast early (Spanish Chestnut, Wild Lukas etc). No one thought that "ALL" of the Jump up Horses would collapse (Not sure that AA collapsed). Now add in the Drug Detention Scenario and you've got one big confusing mess.
I guess the question I ask is did the light preparation have more of impact come Derby than we think on the Key Horses? Not to mention we now know better which horses can handle an extra furlong.
NC Tony