Re: ROTW (450 Views)
Date: June 05, 2005 10:32AM
HP,
I agree that there was clearly something wrong with HOF in the Oct/Jan races. No doubt about that.
The April comeback was also mediocre, but her last was much better than any speed figure alone could possibly capture. You would have to watch the race and be very familiar with what that kind of trip takes away from a horse's ability to reproduce its top figure. It is an extremely rough trip to break slowly and rush up 3W into a slightly faster than average pace. She ran very well last time out even though it doesn't look like it from the speed figure.
Given this was her 3rd off a freshening and she was working very well since the last, I don't think it was any lock that this 4YO filly couldn't recover her best form here. IMO, she had practically done it last time out.
Of course in hindsight she was so darn dreadful yesterday that something is obviously still wrong.
It was a gamble that she wouldn't go backwards again, but the IMHO the key was in at least recognizing that she ran very well last time.
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