Jimbo,

I started this thread and posted my pick. Did not mention HoF. Threw her out. This is not past posting.

The Thoro-Pattern for HoFortune is right on. She had almost no chance to run a new top or pair.

Sorry you lost, but don't take it out on me.

Class & Michael D,

Look, the horse ran a 1 in June 2004. Her previous top was a zero.

That one in June 2004 killed her. Two months later she ran a 3. Two months after she ran a 6. Three and half months later she ran a 12. Since then she's paired 5's. It's a total "cripple" line. She's come NOWHERE near her top in a YEAR. That's not what healthy horses do.

I would have to agree with Michael; I have made worse "stabs" at 7-1. Still in this field I threw her out at first glance, given the total picture TG gives of her past year.

Class,

Her last was BAD relative to her best efforts. You can watch replays till your eyes fall out of your head, she ran a FIVE. That's BAD for a top 4yo relative to a ONE as a 3yo (remember that long thread about year to year improvement -- as in this horse has NONE).

I give the TG number the most weight. You don't. That's basically what this boils down to.

HP