Re: ROTW (424 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: June 06, 2005 10:27AM
Class,
"I think the one thing we can agree on is that if I have something to say around here, people will look for a way to disagree."
Probably a true statement, although I never understood why you get more heat than another poster who has been conspicuously absent for 4 or 5 days.
I was with you on House of Fortune and we went down. But your "post-race" comments are some of what is giving you heat. A lot of people on this board handicap the races and post opinions. When wrong, we ACCEPT we were wrong and maybe learn from it. In hindsight, House of Fortune was a bad bet. Not just because she lost, but she was off form and you/I continued to give her excuses for that form. I still think our bet was a better bet than Star Parade considering that filly is ALSO off form and ran a clunker for 3rd, at shorter odds. But the Star Parade backers are not here posting after the race what a great bet she was.
I think the lesson here was to look extra hard at improving horses, at the right price. Yes, Andujar was only coming in off a "5" and was a few points too slow to win, but considering the "5" was her first race on the dirt, she was first time O'Neill, and was well-bred for the dirt, 7-1 was a good gamble, especially if you didn't like Star Parade or Hollywood Story. Alpabet Kisses at 3-1 was a complete toss and the worst bet in the race, if you use Thorograph. She was slow and figured to have much less upside than Andujar.
Certain horses are "sucker horses" for most gamblers. We bet them a few times and then have trouble getting off of them, for me House of Fortune is one of them. I think Saturday, I finally got off. So make sure the rest of you bet her back next time, she is sure to pop at long odds!!