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Re: Gomez's Choice; Odds Line (635 Views)
Posted by: jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: April 24, 2006 06:36PM

Bitplayer,

With the field not fully determined an accurate odds line is tough to make. For what it is worth (not much), here is my current odds line. I update it a little based on workouts and draw. For now, I have included Sunriver and Flashy Bull instead of Seaside Retreat and Mister Triester. That obviously is a guess.

I always create two odds lines, one which is what I think the odds will be on Derby day and then what I think the actual chances of the horses are. This is what I think the odds will be on Derby day, as I don't do my own line until after the draw.

There is a 16% takeout in the line, with about 1% "breakage".

Brother Derek 4 to 1
Lawyer Ron 9 to 2
Sweetnorthernsaint 8 to 1
Barbaro 8 to 1
Bob and John 12 to 1
Point Determined 12 to 1
Sinister Minister 12 to 1
AP Warrior 15 to 1
Bluegrass Cat 25 to 1
Jazil 25 to 1
Steppenwolfer 25 to 1
Sunriver 30 to 1
Keyed Entry 30 to 1
Private Vow 30 to 1
Sharp Humor 50 to 1
Showing Up 50 to 1
Storm Treasure 50 to 1
Cause to Believe 80 to 1
Deputy Glitters 80 to 1
Flashy Bull 80 to 1



Subject Written By Posted
Early Derby Comments - No Wise Guys Named.... (1154 Views) jimbo66 04/24/2006 04:55PM
Re: Early Derby Comments - No Wise Guys Named.... (818 Views) TGJB 04/24/2006 05:14PM
Re: Early Derby Comments - No Wise Guys Named.... (795 Views) Michael D. 04/24/2006 05:45PM
Gomez's Choice; Odds Line (727 Views) BitPlayer 04/24/2006 05:59PM
Re: Gomez's Choice; Odds Line (702 Views) congaree1 04/24/2006 06:11PM
Re: Gomez's Choice; Odds Line (748 Views) TGJB 04/24/2006 06:25PM
Re: Gomez's Choice; Odds Line (658 Views) jimbo66 04/24/2006 06:37PM
Re: Gomez's Choice; Odds Line (744 Views) TGJB 04/24/2006 07:39PM
Re: Gomez's Choice; Odds Line (702 Views) davidrex 04/24/2006 07:50PM
Re: Gomez's Choice; Odds Line (635 Views) jimbo66 04/24/2006 06:36PM
Re: Gomez's Choice; Odds Line (700 Views) SoCalMan2 04/25/2006 02:51AM
Derby Wagering (769 Views) BitPlayer 04/25/2006 08:34AM
Anticipated Odds (694 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/24/2006 08:08PM
Re: Anticipated Odds (674 Views) miff 04/25/2006 12:09PM
Re: Anticipated Odds (679 Views) TGJB 04/25/2006 01:25PM
Re: Anticipated Odds (565 Views) congaree1 04/25/2006 01:48PM
Re: Anticipated Odds (639 Views) miff 04/25/2006 01:54PM
Re: Anticipated Odds (607 Views) kev 04/25/2006 03:10PM
Re: Anticipated Odds (584 Views) JJP 04/25/2006 03:42PM
Re: Early Derby Comments - No Wise Guys Named.... (704 Views) davidrex 04/24/2006 07:43PM


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