Re: 3 YO NEG Top Study (840 Views)
Posted by:
miff (IP Logged)
Date: May 18, 2006 11:41AM
NC Tony,
I agree and how many in that analysis:
1.Raced on the much more forgiving grass surface in their critical first few races during physical development.You know, knees closing, bones and muscles strengthening et al.
2.Were undefeated in beating 71 runners at 5 different tracks, on turf, wet dirt, dry dirt and all routes.
3.Ran their last quarter in 24.1 in their neg fig ROUTE performance, on their own courage.
4.Had equal type breeding.
I'll save you the time. The answer to all is NONE.The.I think the analysis is painting all neg 1's with the same brush and not comparing apples to apples.
They all get beat sooner or later and if Barbaro does, his last big fig may be one of MANY posssible reasons.This horse does not fit anywhere near the usual profile of a TC participant (started routing, exclusive early grass,unusual spacing)
I would love to take a shot against 3/5 but the analysis is a weak comparison and the value on the other runners is not enticing to me.
Mike