Lets call it having ability on 3 surfaces; G1 on Dirt, G1 on off track; G2 on turf.

It's exceptionally rare that a horse can show G1 form on turf and dirt. Point is, this horse has handled EVERYTHING thrown at him, and he has had FAR more thrown at him than the average Derby winner.

I don't argue the numbers that say a bounce is likely. Considering the odds, betting against him is the 'smart' play. I'm just saying that the list of factors in his favor is getting awfully long, and the list of factors against him awfully short......