Re: Kryptonite (536 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: August 31, 2007 09:42PM
RICH Wrote:
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> chuckles
>
> your opinion on lawyer ron this weekend?
Rich, I'm extremely leery of him.
Factually, he's coming off a super top. Including some wide. He's coming back on relatively short rest for a Plech. Caveat, this horse has a history of Iron Constitution.
He will undoubtedly be favored and probably be odds on in the 4-5 range, perhaps just over even money.
Plech is struggling of late and there is some reason to believe his stable has been predominantly "dope off" but its incredulous to believe that Plech would be running Ron back in 4 weeks after that previous effort without an edge, so I am concluding he will be "maintained" in the Allday method with the barn conducting itself in a manner to elicit another big effort.
In other words, I'm reading him "Crank On", but tempering that with the reality of prospective poor return coupled with the risk of last race induced stress.
If Ron's last race was as big as it appears, the Woodward could be his final start. He has worked well, but the real running is where the keratin meets the polyurethane.
My problem is not betting against Ron. The issue for me is separating the others.