Breaking through tops again (1488 Views)
Posted by:
Jurmala Berzins (IP Logged)
Date: January 18, 2003 10:50AM
Tis far more important to discuss the same ole bullshit over and over again, so let that thread continue and we'll start fresh.
Charismatic 1999:
CD.......3.50
Kee......3.50
SA...........8.0
BM............8.75
SA............8.75
SA...............11.75tu
SA.................12.50tu
SA................11.75
Is he playable? This has to be broken into two parts:
In the old, classic school of sheet reading the answer would be a resounding no. Big top, short rest, new distance etc.
However, one is compelled to look how he compared to the others in the race that day. He was second fastest in the race with Stephen Got Even, the immortal First American also coming in off a huge top fastest at 2.75bi/bo. You might even take the approach that Char. hadn't gone back all spring and was in fact a rapidly developing 3yo. At the odds and knowing it was Lukas it wasn't an improbable play by any stretch. After all, price is the name of the game.
Up to date sheet reading requires trainer study and not just figs alone. Knowing which trainers' horses are less likely to bounce and/or more likely for a big move forward is an integral part of the equation that reading the sheet alone will never provide. Thoro-Graph is miles ahead of the competition in that regard.
burunduks@usa.com
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