Re: Breaking through tops again (842 Views)
Posted by:
derby1592 (IP Logged)
Date: January 18, 2003 03:18PM
This is all in hindsight. I tossed him that year but, given what I have now learned through some tedious research, he would be a definite play at 33-1 if I had a similar opportunity today.
For stakes calibur 3yo routers running a 4-6 point new top, you can expect about 25 percent of them to pair up or improve next time out, about 40 percent of them to run some sort of an in between figure from 1-4 pts off the new top and about 35 percent of them to "X." I think Charismatic was one of the faster ones going into the race and given the 33-1 odds, he was an obvious play. Of course, if he had been odds on, he would have been a play against.
Chris