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Re: Breaking through tops again (848 Views)
Posted by: derby1592 (IP Logged)
Date: January 18, 2003 03:18PM

This is all in hindsight. I tossed him that year but, given what I have now learned through some tedious research, he would be a definite play at 33-1 if I had a similar opportunity today.

For stakes calibur 3yo routers running a 4-6 point new top, you can expect about 25 percent of them to pair up or improve next time out, about 40 percent of them to run some sort of an in between figure from 1-4 pts off the new top and about 35 percent of them to "X." I think Charismatic was one of the faster ones going into the race and given the 33-1 odds, he was an obvious play. Of course, if he had been odds on, he would have been a play against.

Chris



Subject Written By Posted
Breaking through tops again (1498 Views) Jurmala Berzins 01/18/2003 10:50AM
Re: Responding to JIM P (803 Views) HP 01/18/2003 11:34AM
Re: Breaking through tops again (848 Views) derby1592 01/18/2003 03:18PM
Re: Breaking through tops again (765 Views) TGJB 01/18/2003 04:57PM
Young horses, tops (817 Views) TGJB 01/18/2003 06:12PM
Re: Breaking through tops again (825 Views) JimP 01/18/2003 08:01PM
Re: Breaking through tops again (742 Views) derby1592 01/19/2003 08:53PM
Re: Breaking through tops again (891 Views) TGJB 01/19/2003 09:17PM
Re: Breaking Tops, Domestic Dispute & Scrimshaw (788 Views) Silver Charm 01/20/2003 04:45PM
Domestic Dispute and the Derby Future Book (780 Views) derby1592 01/20/2003 10:03PM
3YO Patterns (733 Views) Catalin 01/20/2003 11:23PM


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