Re: Always negative (743 Views)
Posted by:
covelj70 (IP Logged)
Date: May 07, 2009 04:21PM
only sort of kidding about the toothache :)
Rightly or wrongly, I am more inclined to believe numbers on a piece of paper. The numbers aren't biased, people can be, people sometimes believe what they want to believe, not what logic tells them. I deal with this in the stock market everyday. The numbers are usually right, people are too emotional.
No disrespect to Mr. Jerkins at all, I don't know him but I do know that he has forgotten more about horses than I will ever know.
That said, he's never had a young three year old run the kind of numbers we are talking about so I don't think he has too much relevant experience in this particular situation.
In the last 5 years (using that timeframe to account for the weaker breed, drugs, etc), I don't believe there has been a single young 3 year old that has run the big 2 negative or bigger number, come back quickly and stuck around to race the next year. The numbers say that is a problem, emotion might say otherwise.
I sincerely, sincerely hope RA is the first. I really do because I love the filly.