Re: Always negative (842 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: May 08, 2009 03:57PM
You are going to get a chance to win your drink back, Jimbo. If Rachel runs in the Preakness and makes more than 2 other starts by Nov first, you win.
You guys are great. I made the point about Eight Belles before the race. I made the point about IWR before the race. I said it was no sure thing QR wouldn't get to the gate a month before the race. None of these seem to count.
Yes, some hold on for a while, a few (Curlin) more than a while. But this game is all about percentages. A very high percentage of young horses that run really big figures are set back or injured after running them, much higher than with the general horse population. Time afterward helps-- as I have said before, if a horse is slightly uncomfortable and slightly changes his stride, the results can be disastrous with the weight and speed issues involved. the more chance they have to get comfortable again, the better-- I think the 5 weeks after the Fla Derby helped Big Brown hang on as long as he did later in the year. If he had put that effort and the huge Derby 3 weeks apart, the Preakness might have been the Belmont.