Re: Ugly and Uglier in this year's Derby... (671 Views)
Posted by:
kev (IP Logged)
Date: April 25, 2003 11:18PM
1.Brancusi---I think that last number is the end of the line, can he pair it up is the big question. Nice forward moving line this year, but something tells me he'll bounce a bit off this line maybe can run a 3.1 but i'm going with more of a 6.1 range.
2.Atswhatimtalknbout---This horse has me doing this ???? never bounce, three of the same number's in a row means, he won't be running a 4th you just never hardly see that. So does he move forward?? Less likely than backing up to about a 3.2
3.Buddy Gil---I've got to say after looking over and over i think buddy gil bounces off that last move into the 4 to 5 range.
4.Ten Most Wanted---This is my derby horse, even before i looked over the TG numbers today. Pairs up first two races of his life backs up a bit (which is good) breaks threw his two yr. top by a point (which is also good) pops in tha big number in the last race, this horse has one more left in him. Another 1.3 is what i will looking for on derby day.
5.Indian Express---It's Baffert, its a big number in the last race, a must use on any ticket.
6.Offlee Wild---At 30-1 or more a must use on my tickets, thats it.
7. Scrimshaw---Ran a big number at 2 and then takes him three races to come back to it, i don't like the line even if it is Lukas, a pair up will not win this race for him either, your going to need to run atless a 2.0
8. Supah Blitz---Can't even break threw his two year top, pass.
9. Eye of the Tiger---at his best a 3.3 will not win it for him.
10. Empire Maker---Like the fact he bounce only a little in his first start ( see ten most wanted ) came back around and then ran a monster top, pops in another one, sorry folks thats it for him, unless hes a supper horse i don't even see another pair and no way i see him moving forward. So where does he go from here to the 2 to 3 range. At 7-5 no way from a horse who is going to be backing up.
11. Funny Cide---Very hard read on this one so at long odds he will be on my tickets.
12. Kafwain---Goes back to the 4 to 6 range, pass.
13. Lone Star Sky---Looks solid to run back to his top which he can't break threw, which is also not going to help him in here, pass.
14. New York Hero---Is he even going to run?? if he does i'll pass.
15. Outta Here---Big number at 2, one race this year, no way.
16. Peace Rules---Bounces out of range, pass.
17. Senor Swinger---not fast enough for this group.
18. Sir Cherokee---Tough call for me, ran big top in his last which makes me respect him and the 25-1 and up odds. His three year old line looks good.
19. Ten Cents A Shine---Too slow.