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Re: selectivity (559 Views)
Posted by: Mall (IP Logged)
Date: November 06, 2003 11:16PM

The suggestion to keep careful records is obviously a good one. Reading between the lines, it sounds like you're already more disciplined than a lot of players, and that you're primary focus is win betting. Oftentimes, mine is not, so you might think twice before listening too carefully to my few very general thoughts on the matter. Theoretically, your win bet size should increase as the difference between the percentage chance you think the horse has of winning and the percentage chance the crowd thinks the horse has of winning increases. In other words, bet more on a horse you think is a legitimate 5-1 shot which is going off at 10-1 than if he is going off at 8-1. A related concept which seems almost counterintuitive, & imho is hard to get in the habit of actually doing, is to bet increasingly higher amounts as the odds increase. Last, but not least, your largest plays should be in races where you honestly feel you have some insight which is better, or at least different, than other dopesters.

If memory serves, when this question was raised previously, the thought was that the best way to conduct a meaningful discussion was in the context of a particular betting strategy in a specific race. I played the role of the guinea pig that time, so why don't you pick one out this time around & perhaps we, & a few others, might learn a thing or two.



Subject Written By Posted
selectivity (1187 Views) cozzene 11/06/2003 04:21PM
Re: selectivity (586 Views) TGJB 11/06/2003 04:54PM
Re: selectivity (626 Views) 11/06/2003 05:20PM
Re: selectivity (589 Views) cozzene 11/06/2003 07:09PM
Re: selectivity (644 Views) cozzene 11/07/2003 05:21PM
Re: selectivity (565 Views) derby1592 11/07/2003 07:14PM
Re: selectivity (604 Views) cozzene 11/07/2003 08:41PM
Re: selectivity (586 Views) Mall 11/07/2003 10:44PM
Re: selectivity (659 Views) derby1592 11/07/2003 11:30PM
Re: selectivity (627 Views) cozzene 11/08/2003 03:47PM
Re: selectivity (673 Views) 11/06/2003 08:16PM
Re: selectivity (559 Views) Mall 11/06/2003 11:16PM
Re: selectivity (626 Views) 11/07/2003 09:06AM
Re: selectivity (606 Views) milwmike 11/07/2003 09:27AM
Re: selectivity (701 Views) brokerstip 11/07/2003 05:02PM


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