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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
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Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (899 Views)
Posted by: mjellish (IP Logged)
Date: May 28, 2016 11:57AM

I get that running 12 flat 1/8ths for a mile and half is Secretariat. But to be clear, I said 12 and change 1/8ths, not 12 second flat 1/8ths. And there's a big difference between those two statements. Run the numbers and see what times you come up with.

On the upper end, at 12.8 1/8ths you would have 6F in about 1:16. That's crawling.

In the middle at 12.5 you would wind up with fractions that look like this: 25, 50, 1:15, 1:40, 2:05, 2:30. That's still pretty slow early.

On the lower end, at 12.2 you get 24.4, 48.8, 1:13.2, 1:37.6, 2:02, 2:26.4 which would be a pretty strong race.

Of course horses don't usually run evenly every 1/8th. But even if you take the 12.2 numbers above, if a front runner set those types of fractions early and gradually slowed down a few ticks for the last few, which is more representative of what actually happens, you would have a race that finished in 2:28 and change.

The front runners are able to hang around at those kinds of splits, at least for a piece of it.



Subject Written By Posted
Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (1691 Views) bobphilo 05/26/2016 05:14PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (1095 Views) FrankD. 05/26/2016 05:57PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (925 Views) bobphilo 05/26/2016 06:34PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (1026 Views) TempletonPeck 05/26/2016 06:37PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (1031 Views) bobphilo 05/26/2016 06:58PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (1082 Views) sekrah 05/26/2016 07:17PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (995 Views) bobphilo 05/26/2016 08:04PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (1184 Views) mjellish 05/26/2016 09:54PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (929 Views) johnnym 05/26/2016 10:10PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (811 Views) streetbull 05/26/2016 10:24PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (910 Views) joemama 05/27/2016 03:34AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (888 Views) Ace 05/26/2016 11:48PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (947 Views) jbelfior 05/27/2016 07:35AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (904 Views) pizzalove 05/27/2016 08:12AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (713 Views) jerry 05/29/2016 10:24AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (1065 Views) bobphilo 05/27/2016 08:50AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (830 Views) ajkreider 05/28/2016 10:52AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (899 Views) mjellish 05/28/2016 11:57AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (800 Views) ajkreider 05/28/2016 01:14PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (1062 Views) P-Dub 05/27/2016 12:28AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (770 Views) cubfan0316 05/28/2016 12:08PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (845 Views) P-Dub 05/28/2016 01:51PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (773 Views) bobphilo 05/28/2016 06:55PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (727 Views) P-Dub 05/28/2016 07:15PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (763 Views) bobphilo 05/28/2016 08:22PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (781 Views) P-Dub 05/28/2016 11:00PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (623 Views) Tavasco 05/29/2016 12:19AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (856 Views) P-Dub 05/29/2016 12:44AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (785 Views) bobphilo 05/29/2016 08:53AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (933 Views) TGJB 05/29/2016 11:56AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (962 Views) bobphilo 05/29/2016 01:41PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (908 Views) TGJB 05/29/2016 01:43PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (794 Views) johnnym 05/29/2016 11:03AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (810 Views) bobphilo 05/29/2016 11:21AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (1009 Views) ajkreider 05/29/2016 01:47PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (844 Views) bobphilo 05/29/2016 02:25PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (760 Views) Rich Curtis 05/29/2016 03:02PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (765 Views) bobphilo 05/29/2016 03:49PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (902 Views) Michael D. 05/29/2016 03:56PM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (916 Views) ajkreider 05/30/2016 12:46AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (756 Views) Michael D. 05/30/2016 09:21AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (881 Views) miff 05/30/2016 09:53AM
Re: Bloodhorse Belmont Preview. (937 Views) TGJB 05/30/2016 12:24PM


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