Personally, I am not expecting Pleasantly Perfect to run new top. He's a 6 year old horse that has already won the BC and DC. IMO, a 6yo with 16 starts who was already wound up enough to win 2 of the sports biggest races has already shown his best stuff. I would be more inclined to believe he could improve further if he was 4, had fewer races, and was slowly moving up the ranks.

I didn't even think his last race was all that hot. He had a clear lead into the stretch in what looks like a slow paced race (I'll watch the replay later) and couldn't hold off Choctaw Nation. If anything, it's the latter that is better than he looks on paper based on speed figures. (probably still not good enough to win though)

I am not saying PP isn't going to improve and win 2nd off a layoff - especially at these weights, but if anything, I would look to beat him at 6-5 or less. IMO, at 6-5 you have to believe that he's fairly close to certain to improve off that last race and run one of his better ones.

There are a couple of horses in here than can beat him if he's not 100% or gets the worst of the trip.