JB,

I pretty much agree with your analysis completely.

I think "perhaps" Choctaw Nation's last race is just a tad better than you are giving him credit for. That last race looks like a slow paced race to me. I don't think it was an easy task to close down those horses from well off the pace given how fast they were running late. Given a better pace scenario I believe he might have run a faster figure. (that's another debate) :-)

I agree completely that he will have to improve a lot more to win (especially at the weights). I also agree that PP is very likely to improve 2nd off a layoff.

I'm going to have a tough time finding a bet in there because I believe the odds will more or less reflect my order of preference. If I do bet, it will probably be Perfect Drift. It won't be PP at 6-5.



Post Edited (08-21-04 16:01)