Re: ROTW and Study (457 Views)
Posted by:
Silver Charm (IP Logged)
Date: August 21, 2004 05:21PM
TGAB,
Thanks for taking away time from your super-busy schedule to answer, TG and the rest of us are lucky to have you.
I actually thought of what you said about removing the X from the equation because of a horse like PP this really is not going to happen. However this is the results from when I did: Top 16.7%, Pair 43.3% and Off 40%.
With PP being a 40% chance to run another Off number and his odds being even money, I will either try and beat him or pass the race.
Also bear in mind that Mandella himself is 29% Off, 2nd off the Layoff so there is evidence within his personal training statistical category to indicate PP is no cinch. The last race could be excused from the standpoint of the study, Mandella is one of the best pure conditioners in the game, and when you are dealing with arguably the best handicap horse in the world stats may be misleading.
Post Edited (08-21-04 18:05)
