Re: Swan Song? (305 Views)
Posted by: BitPlayer
Date: November 04, 2019 05:44PM
The probability of each horse coming home safely is 0.999. The probability of 200 horses all doing so is the product of all those probabilities: 0.999 to the 200th power, which is 0.819. The probability of that not happening is 1 minus 0.819, which equals 0.181, or roughly 18%.