Re: Swan Song? (967 Views)
Posted by: BitPlayer (IP Logged)
Date: November 04, 2019 05:44PM
The probability of each horse coming home safely is 0.999. The probability of 200 horses all doing so is the product of all those probabilities: 0.999 to the 200th power, which is 0.819. The probability of that not happening is 1 minus 0.819, which equals 0.181, or roughly 18%.
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