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 Race of the Week:  TG Final Figures for BC 2019 Santa Anita 11/1 & 11/2 2019 
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Re: Swan Song? (305 Views)
Posted by: BitPlayer (IP Logged)
Date: November 04, 2019 05:44PM

The probability of each horse coming home safely is 0.999. The probability of 200 horses all doing so is the product of all those probabilities: 0.999 to the 200th power, which is 0.819. The probability of that not happening is 1 minus 0.819, which equals 0.181, or roughly 18%.

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Subject Written By Posted
Swan Song? (588 Views) Caradoc 11/03/2019 01:42PM
Re: Swan Song? (445 Views) jma11473 11/03/2019 02:04PM
Re: Swan Song? (406 Views) Caradoc 11/03/2019 02:55PM
Re: Swan Song? (424 Views) bluechip21 11/03/2019 04:07PM
Re: Swan Song? (403 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/03/2019 04:42PM
Re: Swan Song? (367 Views) vired 11/03/2019 09:50PM
Re: Swan Song? (400 Views) Al Caught Up 11/03/2019 05:59PM
Re: Swan Song? (337 Views) jerry 11/04/2019 11:18AM
Re: Swan Song? (327 Views) Rich Curtis 11/04/2019 12:37PM
Re: Swan Song? (341 Views) BitPlayer 11/04/2019 01:25PM
Re: Swan Song? (297 Views) JimP 11/04/2019 05:34PM
Re: Swan Song? (305 Views) BitPlayer 11/04/2019 05:44PM
Re: Swan Song? (264 Views) banditbeau 11/05/2019 09:55AM
Re: Swan Song? (229 Views) Marlin 11/05/2019 06:03PM
Re: Swan Song? (228 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2019 07:27PM
Re: Swan Song? (203 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2019 07:13PM


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