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Re: Swan Song? (278 Views)
Posted by: Marlin (IP Logged)
Date: November 05, 2019 06:03PM

Am I nuts here or is Mathcapper going to chime in here.

If the chances are 0.20 % then THAT probability remains constant NO matter how many horses (volume) . Probability does not change based on volume, BUT incident count can change, not incident RATE.

For example, flip a coin 1,000 times & it is still 50% probability of Heads.

200 Horses @ 0.20% probability is 0.40 horse incidents; less than ONE horse. NOT 18%

Subject Written By Posted
Swan Song? (675 Views) Caradoc 11/03/2019 01:42PM
Re: Swan Song? (504 Views) jma11473 11/03/2019 02:04PM
Re: Swan Song? (470 Views) Caradoc 11/03/2019 02:55PM
Re: Swan Song? (484 Views) bluechip21 11/03/2019 04:07PM
Re: Swan Song? (467 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/03/2019 04:42PM
Re: Swan Song? (436 Views) vired 11/03/2019 09:50PM
Re: Swan Song? (466 Views) Al Caught Up 11/03/2019 05:59PM
Re: Swan Song? (400 Views) jerry 11/04/2019 11:18AM
Re: Swan Song? (401 Views) Rich Curtis 11/04/2019 12:37PM
Re: Swan Song? (406 Views) BitPlayer 11/04/2019 01:25PM
Re: Swan Song? (357 Views) JimP 11/04/2019 05:34PM
Re: Swan Song? (365 Views) BitPlayer 11/04/2019 05:44PM
Re: Swan Song? (319 Views) banditbeau 11/05/2019 09:55AM
Re: Swan Song? (278 Views) Marlin 11/05/2019 06:03PM
Re: Swan Song? (283 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2019 07:27PM
Re: Swan Song? (267 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2019 07:13PM

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