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Re: Swan Song? (305 Views)
Posted by: BitPlayer (IP Logged)
Date: November 05, 2019 07:27PM

Marlin -

You are right that the expected number of fatalities would be 0.4. Obviously, there is no such thing as 0.4 fatalities. There have to be zero, one, two, etc. fatalities. Each number of fatalities has a probability associated with it. Based on my assumptions, the probability of zero fatalities was 82%. Since all probabilities have to sum to 100%, the probability of a number of fatalities greater than zero was 18%.

Subject Written By Posted
Swan Song? (700 Views) Caradoc 11/03/2019 01:42PM
Re: Swan Song? (522 Views) jma11473 11/03/2019 02:04PM
Re: Swan Song? (486 Views) Caradoc 11/03/2019 02:55PM
Re: Swan Song? (495 Views) bluechip21 11/03/2019 04:07PM
Re: Swan Song? (482 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/03/2019 04:42PM
Re: Swan Song? (450 Views) vired 11/03/2019 09:50PM
Re: Swan Song? (481 Views) Al Caught Up 11/03/2019 05:59PM
Re: Swan Song? (419 Views) jerry 11/04/2019 11:18AM
Re: Swan Song? (425 Views) Rich Curtis 11/04/2019 12:37PM
Re: Swan Song? (424 Views) BitPlayer 11/04/2019 01:25PM
Re: Swan Song? (371 Views) JimP 11/04/2019 05:34PM
Re: Swan Song? (383 Views) BitPlayer 11/04/2019 05:44PM
Re: Swan Song? (345 Views) banditbeau 11/05/2019 09:55AM
Re: Swan Song? (297 Views) Marlin 11/05/2019 06:03PM
Re: Swan Song? (305 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2019 07:27PM
Re: Swan Song? (284 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2019 07:13PM

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