Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  TG Final Figures for BC 2019 Santa Anita 11/1 & 11/2 2019 
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Re: Swan Song? (228 Views)
Posted by: BitPlayer (IP Logged)
Date: November 05, 2019 07:27PM

Marlin -

You are right that the expected number of fatalities would be 0.4. Obviously, there is no such thing as 0.4 fatalities. There have to be zero, one, two, etc. fatalities. Each number of fatalities has a probability associated with it. Based on my assumptions, the probability of zero fatalities was 82%. Since all probabilities have to sum to 100%, the probability of a number of fatalities greater than zero was 18%.



Subject Written By Posted
Swan Song? (588 Views) Caradoc 11/03/2019 01:42PM
Re: Swan Song? (445 Views) jma11473 11/03/2019 02:04PM
Re: Swan Song? (406 Views) Caradoc 11/03/2019 02:55PM
Re: Swan Song? (425 Views) bluechip21 11/03/2019 04:07PM
Re: Swan Song? (404 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/03/2019 04:42PM
Re: Swan Song? (367 Views) vired 11/03/2019 09:50PM
Re: Swan Song? (400 Views) Al Caught Up 11/03/2019 05:59PM
Re: Swan Song? (337 Views) jerry 11/04/2019 11:18AM
Re: Swan Song? (327 Views) Rich Curtis 11/04/2019 12:37PM
Re: Swan Song? (341 Views) BitPlayer 11/04/2019 01:25PM
Re: Swan Song? (297 Views) JimP 11/04/2019 05:34PM
Re: Swan Song? (306 Views) BitPlayer 11/04/2019 05:44PM
Re: Swan Song? (264 Views) banditbeau 11/05/2019 09:55AM
Re: Swan Song? (229 Views) Marlin 11/05/2019 06:03PM
Re: Swan Song? (228 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2019 07:27PM
Re: Swan Song? (204 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2019 07:13PM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.