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Re: Swan Song? (228 Views)
Posted by: BitPlayer (IP Logged)
Date: November 05, 2019 07:27PM

Marlin -

You are right that the expected number of fatalities would be 0.4. Obviously, there is no such thing as 0.4 fatalities. There have to be zero, one, two, etc. fatalities. Each number of fatalities has a probability associated with it. Based on my assumptions, the probability of zero fatalities was 82%. Since all probabilities have to sum to 100%, the probability of a number of fatalities greater than zero was 18%.

Subject Written By Posted
Swan Song? (588 Views) Caradoc 11/03/2019 01:42PM
Re: Swan Song? (445 Views) jma11473 11/03/2019 02:04PM
Re: Swan Song? (406 Views) Caradoc 11/03/2019 02:55PM
Re: Swan Song? (425 Views) bluechip21 11/03/2019 04:07PM
Re: Swan Song? (404 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/03/2019 04:42PM
Re: Swan Song? (367 Views) vired 11/03/2019 09:50PM
Re: Swan Song? (400 Views) Al Caught Up 11/03/2019 05:59PM
Re: Swan Song? (337 Views) jerry 11/04/2019 11:18AM
Re: Swan Song? (327 Views) Rich Curtis 11/04/2019 12:37PM
Re: Swan Song? (341 Views) BitPlayer 11/04/2019 01:25PM
Re: Swan Song? (297 Views) JimP 11/04/2019 05:34PM
Re: Swan Song? (306 Views) BitPlayer 11/04/2019 05:44PM
Re: Swan Song? (264 Views) banditbeau 11/05/2019 09:55AM
Re: Swan Song? (229 Views) Marlin 11/05/2019 06:03PM
Re: Swan Song? (228 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2019 07:27PM
Re: Swan Song? (204 Views) BitPlayer 11/05/2019 07:13PM

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