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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023 
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Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (875 Views)
Posted by: richiebee (IP Logged)
Date: April 25, 2021 08:15PM

Clean and up to date, only lacking a set of projected odds from the board's
Jesuit-trained oddsmaker.

I've dabbled in NONSCIENCE, now I will explore HISTORY (for purposes of both,
Maximum Security was 2019 Derby winner). Since 2013 (current point system), the
Derby winner was in the Top 5 point leaders five of seven years. Both Always
Dreaming and Maximum Security were seventh on points list.

In the last seven years, the Kentucky Derby was won by Florida Derby
[i]winner[/i] four times, Santa Anita Derby [i]winner[/i] twice and the
Arkansas Derby [i]winner[/i] once.

Given recent HISTORY, consider the following questions: (1) Is picking Derby
WINNER really that much of a puzzle? (2) Will there ever be a Giacomo/Mine That
Bird type Derby upset under the current points system? (3) How screwed am I
(based off above) in that I think Known Agenda bounces right out of the
trifecta?

[Maybe the points system could be tweaked so that winners of non pointed races
could be preferred over horses who have not won as a 3YO? Hypothetical: A Cal
bred or NY bred 3YO gets on a roll, winning a couple of state bred stakes
in nice fashion....would rather see a horse like this have an opportunity to go
to Derby than a horse who accumulated prep points but has not won as a 3YO.
Hypothetical also works subbing "filly" for "state bred".]



Subject Written By Posted
Caddo River (977 Views) johnnym 04/25/2021 08:11AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (895 Views) Kasept 04/25/2021 11:26AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (968 Views) TGJB 04/25/2021 01:16PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (875 Views) richiebee 04/25/2021 08:15PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (649 Views) confused 04/25/2021 08:29PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (702 Views) richiebee 04/25/2021 10:41PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (726 Views) Molesap 04/26/2021 03:03AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (576 Views) confused 04/26/2021 07:37AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (590 Views) ajkreider 04/26/2021 10:46AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (673 Views) confused 04/26/2021 11:38AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (635 Views) richiebee 04/26/2021 03:08PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (779 Views) Fairmount1 04/25/2021 09:05PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (888 Views) Roman 04/26/2021 12:11AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (627 Views) bluechip21 04/26/2021 06:10AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (625 Views) johnnym 04/26/2021 07:01AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (611 Views) Chas04 04/26/2021 07:39AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (824 Views) boardedup 04/26/2021 06:21PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (543 Views) statuette 04/26/2021 06:36PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (856 Views) mjellish 04/26/2021 06:40PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (582 Views) bluechip21 04/26/2021 07:45PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (679 Views) hellersorr 04/26/2021 09:37PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (737 Views) johnnym 04/26/2021 09:42PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (640 Views) richiebee 04/26/2021 09:47PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (556 Views) richiebee 04/26/2021 10:23PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (704 Views) confused 04/26/2021 08:06PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (575 Views) jbelfior 04/26/2021 08:52PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (426 Views) Beginner 05/01/2021 08:06PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (597 Views) Fairmount1 04/26/2021 10:22PM
Re: Mattress Mac (872 Views) BitPlayer 04/27/2021 12:35AM
Re: Mattress Mac (641 Views) boardedup 04/27/2021 07:12AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (958 Views) TGJB 04/25/2021 01:19PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (777 Views) Molesap 04/25/2021 02:48PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (759 Views) Molesap 04/25/2021 03:07PM
Re: Caddo River (793 Views) jm2324 04/25/2021 01:38PM


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