Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (1032 Views)
Posted by: richiebee (IP Logged)
Date: April 25, 2021 08:15PM

Clean and up to date, only lacking a set of projected odds from the board's
Jesuit-trained oddsmaker.

I've dabbled in NONSCIENCE, now I will explore HISTORY (for purposes of both,
Maximum Security was 2019 Derby winner). Since 2013 (current point system), the
Derby winner was in the Top 5 point leaders five of seven years. Both Always
Dreaming and Maximum Security were seventh on points list.

In the last seven years, the Kentucky Derby was won by Florida Derby
[i]winner[/i] four times, Santa Anita Derby [i]winner[/i] twice and the
Arkansas Derby [i]winner[/i] once.

Given recent HISTORY, consider the following questions: (1) Is picking Derby
WINNER really that much of a puzzle? (2) Will there ever be a Giacomo/Mine That
Bird type Derby upset under the current points system? (3) How screwed am I
(based off above) in that I think Known Agenda bounces right out of the
trifecta?

[Maybe the points system could be tweaked so that winners of non pointed races
could be preferred over horses who have not won as a 3YO? Hypothetical: A Cal
bred or NY bred 3YO gets on a roll, winning a couple of state bred stakes
in nice fashion....would rather see a horse like this have an opportunity to go
to Derby than a horse who accumulated prep points but has not won as a 3YO.
Hypothetical also works subbing "filly" for "state bred".]



Subject Written By Posted
Caddo River (1195 Views) johnnym 04/25/2021 08:11AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (1003 Views) Kasept 04/25/2021 11:26AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (1126 Views) TGJB 04/25/2021 01:16PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (1032 Views) richiebee 04/25/2021 08:15PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (778 Views) confused 04/25/2021 08:29PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (874 Views) richiebee 04/25/2021 10:41PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (936 Views) Molesap 04/26/2021 03:03AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (708 Views) confused 04/26/2021 07:37AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (768 Views) ajkreider 04/26/2021 10:46AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (795 Views) confused 04/26/2021 11:38AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (773 Views) richiebee 04/26/2021 03:08PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (939 Views) Fairmount1 04/25/2021 09:05PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (1037 Views) Roman 04/26/2021 12:11AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (809 Views) bluechip21 04/26/2021 06:10AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (755 Views) johnnym 04/26/2021 07:01AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (725 Views) Chas04 04/26/2021 07:39AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (983 Views) boardedup 04/26/2021 06:21PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (656 Views) statuette 04/26/2021 06:36PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (979 Views) mjellish 04/26/2021 06:40PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (694 Views) bluechip21 04/26/2021 07:45PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (790 Views) hellersorr 04/26/2021 09:37PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (899 Views) johnnym 04/26/2021 09:42PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (784 Views) richiebee 04/26/2021 09:47PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (700 Views) richiebee 04/26/2021 10:23PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (838 Views) confused 04/26/2021 08:06PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (691 Views) jbelfior 04/26/2021 08:52PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (582 Views) Beginner 05/01/2021 08:06PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (771 Views) Fairmount1 04/26/2021 10:22PM
Re: Mattress Mac (994 Views) BitPlayer 04/27/2021 12:35AM
Re: Mattress Mac (800 Views) boardedup 04/27/2021 07:12AM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (1108 Views) TGJB 04/25/2021 01:19PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (882 Views) Molesap 04/25/2021 02:48PM
Re: Caddo River ~ CURRENT DERBY FIELD (4/25-11:25a) (875 Views) Molesap 04/25/2021 03:07PM
Re: Caddo River (946 Views) jm2324 04/25/2021 01:38PM


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