HP,

>Her last was BAD relative to her best efforts. You can watch replays till your eyes fall out of your head, she ran a FIVE.<

I think Jerry would agree with me that losing a couple of lengths at the start is worth an adjustment of some kind in this case.

I am saying that rushing up after breaking slowly into a moderately fast pace 3W is worth more than just the ground loss.

You might not agree with that.

So I suggest that when watching route races in the future you make special note of horses that get left at the start and then rush up wide into contention on the first turn in a moderately fast or fast pace and see how they finish relative to expectations (examine speed figures too).

I am certain that after you make note of a few dozen horses like that, you'll see what I mean.

You viewed her as a horse with possible problems that ran a 5 last time out.

I viewed her as a horse with possible problems that ran the eqivalent of about a 2 last time out.

I think there is a lot of value in recognizing potential physical problems. That was the case here and I think TG did a great job in noting that.

However, she was trained by McAnally, was working well, improved off the freshening when you understand her last effort better, and was 7-1.

If she was 2-1, had actually run as poorly as a 5, and was trained by a bumb, (or some combination like that) I probably would have boxed 4 horses to beat her.