Millennium,

Sun King ran a T-Graph top of "0", off a freshening, in other words similar circumstances as today.

The figure in the LA Derby that you are questioning, was a "1" for High Limit, which was his top.

So, T-Graph had Sun King faster and he drew the rail.

The rail was offset by the pre-race expectation that High Limit was probably going to make the lead and save ground.

But with Sun King at 5-2 and High Limit at 3-5, if you are using T-Graph, you probably pick the winner.

I am sorry that sounds like redboarding and I guess it is, my only point is that whether the "1" was achieved under perfect circumstances and/or legit, if you used T-Graph for the race today, you had a good chance to cash.