Re: ROTW (450 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: July 18, 2005 02:21PM
M3,
Did you see my posting about the La Derby figure? Jerry, Len and Andy beyer were in synch on this race. That doesn't make them right of course, but it does make it a figure that T-Graph doesn't "stand alone" on.
The interesting thing to me is that it does appear that Jerry might have used the "1" for High Limit to justify the very high figure for Bandini in the Bluegrass. However, Beyer gave the Bluegrass a very slow figure. To date, it seems Andy has the edge on that race. Len also gave the Bluegrass a huge figure, actually on par with the fig given to Bellamy Road in the Wood Memorial. Can't say who has the edge there, as Scrappy T is the only horse to come out of either race and do well, until Sun King's race yesterday.
Not sure where you want this thread to go or what you are expecting. I guess Jerry is on his way back from Delaware, as I would have thought we would have gotten some kind of response from him by now.
If all three of the "name figuremakers" are in agreement on a race and the race fits with the day, but then all the horses coming out of the race don't run back to that race, what do you do? For me, I call it a "negative key race" and bet against those horses as often as possible.
It would seem to be more valid to question jerry on figures where he "stands alone" and has treated a race differently than either Beyer or Len. Those figures either get T-Graph users buried, or get us great scores. The True North fits in this category, as did High Limit's 2 year old races. I don't see the La Derby in this category.