Re: Paying Attention (454 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: August 12, 2007 11:23AM
I promised to knock off the dissertation for awhile and I'm breaking that pledge as if it was a banned substance regulation.
I don't follow California at all now, so I have no idea what trainer you're referring to. I'm assuming you're implying he's skipping the day's card out of fear of enhanced oversight, but even then I'm not sure. My limited knowledge of Del Mar is that there's scores of horse-folk up in arms at the reconfigured track that are ready to bolt. Maybe the suggested trainer is one of them?
If you want to discuss proof of doping in terms of performance figures thats science. Plech's horses began earning unreal figures in 2002 and in the two years prior Plech was on a remarkable overall improvement curve. The figures provide strong evidence, but the evidentiary volume against Plech is even stronger. I could tell you Left Bank popped 2 record fast efforts before he died, but thats me, maybe Tgraph will let you see Left Bank's sheet in historical context.
One of the key factors of course was Allday's involvement with the trainers that were popping Negative 3 and faster: Plech, Frankel, Dutrow. The other guy that was/is firing huge numbers is Zito, but to this point I haven't identified those two together.
I consider post career breeding results the poorest indicator of doping. However, I do factor premature retirement and premature death significantly.
I'm actually amazed at the skepticism that exists. Its a double edged issue. Its a negative for a near term resolution on doping, but its a positive indicator regarding the health of the pari mutual pool. (MO would call that last line bad delivery...lol)
marcus Wrote:
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> CtC2 - IMO Even if some of what your saying is
> remotely plausible - it still doesn't prove
> anything . Personally , I feel that you might
> strengthen your argument by discussing the
> "numbers" and "progeny" of these horses when
> addressing performance , breeding or health issues
> . Sunday at DMR there is a certain trainer
> with-out a single horse entered on the card -
> coincidental ? circumstantial ? It seems to
> marginally contradict your theory ...