Re: Super Derby (663 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: September 22, 2003 04:01PM
1-- Anyone can blow a figure. Even moi. There is a lot of judgement involved, claims of science from certain quarters notwithstanding.
2-- As it happens, we put a "hot pace" designation next to the Travers figure, which you can see if you look at TMW in ROTW, and the handicapper is free to make what judgements he will.
3-- BUT-- while there is a certain logic to discounting bad efforts from horses who contested a hot pace, explain to me how it makes other horses, who raced further back, run faster. There were other horses who raced behind that pace in the Travers, and they did not run jump-up figures because of the "optimum conditions." The second and third finishers contested the pace, in fact.
TGJB