Re: Dynever analysis (552 Views)
Date: October 21, 2003 08:04PM
I read Dynever differently in the specifics, but in the same general way.
He is improving and is not that far off the best horses right now.
As you probably know, I and several other speed figure makers think his WV Derby was better than a 2. More like a -1 or -2.
So when he ran in a 1 1/2 in the mud, I think he was not as sharp, but who cares. It was mud. Therefore, it should be excused or suspect regardless.
I think his Med Cup is actually a tad better than it looks. The pace for that race was slow and he moved into the hottest part while wide before flattening out. I would like him better if he earned those figures against the best of the division, but then he wouldn't be as long a price. IMO he is live - definitely for the exotics at least.
I would need a price to get involved.