Re: Dynever analysis (545 Views)
Posted by:
Silver Charm (IP Logged)
Date: October 22, 2003 11:11AM
Odds guidelines can be useful and detrimental to your fiscal health. Take Volponi last year, TG said he was a play at 40-1 or more. With 10 minutes to post I went and bet Volponi and at that point in time he was about 35-1. Did I make a bad bet?? Did I go against their advice??
How about Starine, they recommended her at 15-1 or more, she went off at 12-1 and won.
Were you smart for not taking her at their "projected value odds"??
This can be very tricky and often lead to emotional mistakes in wagering. If you like a horse but get off him because you didn't like his odds and he rolls in, you can be UPSET for several races. Similar to when you get robbed on a bad DQ.
This is definately the case on EMOTIONAL days like BC Day where you have spent a lot of time (maybe months)trying to find the right one and you bail out because you didn't like his odds.