TGJB,

>I just want to tell you that everyone here loved when you said "I and other speed figure makers."<

I'm sure Beyer and Ragozin would enjoy the fact that I agreed with them on the WV Derby figure too.

Last night I asked Davidowitz what he thought about that WV Derby figure. He said he had no opinion, but said "it didn't matter because Soto came out of the race and ran TMW to half length and that was enough".

He's got some nerve being as stupid as me.
:-)

I rarely if ever look closely at the morning line odds. I read various articles and get a rough feel for the betting. Don't care about the morning line.

I could never in a million years produce my 40%-50% profits making an odds line on every horse in the race and then betting whichever ones are overlays. Never said I could do that. My odds lines across the whole field are not that accurate.

What I can do is occasionally find individual horses that I believe will either be overbet and/or underbet because of trips, faulty figures, and other insights and focus on or against them - with certain prices in mind before I get involved. That is how I have done it for the last 8 years. It's a very limiting procedure. I only make a few dozen bets per year. But that's OK. I'm not selling anything, trying to make a living, or anything else. I'm having fun.