TGJB,

I understand where you are coming from.

It's a difficult task from both of our perspectives.

You would like to see it done publicly.

I have no interest in proving anything to you and only brought it up because you were ridiculing everything I said. I made the mistake of hoping you would take me slightly more seriously if I told you the truth - that I am beating the game.

Here's what makes it difficult for me.

For example: I made a bet on Great Notion in the Kings Bishop (ouch) because by the time the end of the day rolled around I thought there was some evidence that inside/speed might be better (it looked that way the day before too).

I saw Great Notion's "Rebel" race (way back) and thought it was much better than any speed figuermaker gave him credit for. He was hung out very wide being used extremely hard into a fast pace on the first turn, yet still hung around late in a route. I made a mental note of that ability because it looked like one of his weaker races on paper and I thought it was his best. He looked like he could be a really useful sprinter.

I watched his first sprint off a layoff and thought it was a useful prep for the King's Bishop.

In the morning, I had no idea I would be making that bet. Not only that, I really did not have a firm odds line in mind. That was a tough and deep field.

I just thought he had some "hidden ability", a potential bias advantage, and a good chance of moving forward. 16-1 got me to the window and I lost. 10-1 probably wouldn't have. Not sure of everything in between.

Key is, in the morning I had no clue because the bias was at least one reason for the bet and I didn't know that until later.