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Pace handicapping (826 Views)
Posted by: HP (IP Logged)
Date: September 19, 2004 11:12AM

Talk about pace handicapping, how about yesterday's Kentucky Cup at Turfway? Whew. Everything on the lead.

3rd race - Speed one-two. The winner fit on figs, figured to want the lead, loved the track (3 wins at TP), stalked briefly and took over. Results on the chalky side. We'll take it.

5th - inside speed. Day takes the place with the rail horse (kills my exotics) and outside speed comes 3rd.

7th - According to pacefigures.com (!) the winner has the best early lick, so I give that extra credit in addition to the fact the the horse figures on TG. Decent price, favorite figured to stalk a lot of speed, does, and comes second. Middlin exacta and miss the tri.

9th - Here's where it gets a little sticky. The winner wired them around two turns, but who could figure that I'm a Dixie Girl wouldn't chase? She looked like the speed all the way and I figured she might even get the lead to herself since Day may want to wait on Winning Season instead of dueling. I liked the winner because I thought she would stalk and instead she just blasted them. I'll take it.

10th - Place horse takes them all the way (surprise!) I figured Sequoia Cat and Storied Cat (even money, sitting on a good one, but slower going in) would duel, and I liked the former better (he's much faster). I like the winner and the show horse to pick up the pieces in the exotics, but who could figure Magna Graduate to lead them all the way and hang around for second? Not me. Painful, as the bad favorite ran as expected and still couldn't nail it.

So to sum up, it was obvious that the speed was the way to go, but figuring out who would capitalize on it was much harder -- and this is no reflection on the value or potential value of pace figures.

Anybody else play these? HP



Subject Written By Posted
Pace handicapping (826 Views) HP 09/19/2004 11:12AM
Re: Pace handicapping (467 Views) Thehoarsehorseplayer 09/19/2004 11:59AM
Re: Pace handicapping (446 Views) HP 09/19/2004 12:12PM
Re: Pace handicapping (401 Views) TGJB 09/19/2004 12:58PM
Re: Pace handicapping (392 Views) HP 09/19/2004 01:01PM
Re: Pace handicapping (443 Views) 09/19/2004 06:07PM
Re: Pace handicapping (408 Views) HP 09/19/2004 08:42PM
Re: Pace handicapping (422 Views) beyerguy 09/20/2004 05:22AM
Re: Pace handicapping (425 Views) HP 09/20/2004 08:50AM
Re: Pace handicapping (412 Views) Silver Charm 09/20/2004 01:03PM
Re: Pace handicapping (415 Views) HP 09/20/2004 01:20PM
Re: Pace handicapping (463 Views) TGJB 09/20/2004 01:30PM
Re: Pace handicapping (449 Views) HP 09/20/2004 02:07PM
Re: Pace handicapping (539 Views) 09/20/2004 03:09PM
Re: Pace handicapping (437 Views) beyerguy 09/20/2004 03:31PM
Re: Pace handicapping (643 Views) HP 09/20/2004 03:55PM
Re: Pace handicapping (385 Views) beyerguy 09/20/2004 04:07PM
Re: Pace handicapping (467 Views) HP 09/20/2004 04:30PM
Re: Pace handicapping (396 Views) 09/20/2004 04:48PM
Re: Pace handicapping (362 Views) beyerguy 09/20/2004 04:59PM
Re: Pace handicapping (406 Views) 09/20/2004 04:28PM
Re: Pace handicapping (380 Views) jbelfior 09/20/2004 10:35AM
Re: Pace handicapping (416 Views) beyerguy 09/20/2004 12:46PM


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