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Re: Pace handicapping (539 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: September 20, 2004 03:09PM

This is a silly debate. All the races count, but even on the most strongly biased days horses can still win going against the grain. The idea is to look at the all the horses' performances relative to what you would have expected given a neutral track. If there's "substanial evidence" that a certain style or path was outperforming/underperforming relative to expectations the track might have been biased. It has nothing to do with how many winners there were even though that might be a typical scenario.

I didn't handicap that card, but I looked at the results for that day (and the day before) and based on odds and finish (not a detailed analysis) it sure looks like inside speed was an advantage in sprints.



Subject Written By Posted
Pace handicapping (827 Views) HP 09/19/2004 11:12AM
Re: Pace handicapping (467 Views) Thehoarsehorseplayer 09/19/2004 11:59AM
Re: Pace handicapping (446 Views) HP 09/19/2004 12:12PM
Re: Pace handicapping (401 Views) TGJB 09/19/2004 12:58PM
Re: Pace handicapping (392 Views) HP 09/19/2004 01:01PM
Re: Pace handicapping (443 Views) 09/19/2004 06:07PM
Re: Pace handicapping (408 Views) HP 09/19/2004 08:42PM
Re: Pace handicapping (422 Views) beyerguy 09/20/2004 05:22AM
Re: Pace handicapping (425 Views) HP 09/20/2004 08:50AM
Re: Pace handicapping (412 Views) Silver Charm 09/20/2004 01:03PM
Re: Pace handicapping (415 Views) HP 09/20/2004 01:20PM
Re: Pace handicapping (463 Views) TGJB 09/20/2004 01:30PM
Re: Pace handicapping (449 Views) HP 09/20/2004 02:07PM
Re: Pace handicapping (539 Views) 09/20/2004 03:09PM
Re: Pace handicapping (437 Views) beyerguy 09/20/2004 03:31PM
Re: Pace handicapping (643 Views) HP 09/20/2004 03:55PM
Re: Pace handicapping (385 Views) beyerguy 09/20/2004 04:07PM
Re: Pace handicapping (467 Views) HP 09/20/2004 04:30PM
Re: Pace handicapping (396 Views) 09/20/2004 04:48PM
Re: Pace handicapping (362 Views) beyerguy 09/20/2004 04:59PM
Re: Pace handicapping (406 Views) 09/20/2004 04:28PM
Re: Pace handicapping (380 Views) jbelfior 09/20/2004 10:35AM
Re: Pace handicapping (416 Views) beyerguy 09/20/2004 12:46PM


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