Re: Pace handicapping (380 Views)
Posted by:
jbelfior (IP Logged)
Date: September 20, 2004 10:35AM
I personally try to project what the pace will be and then look to see what horses will run well against that pace.
As an example, I'll use BIRDSTONE. Likes to rate comfortably off of medium type fractions and will then kick strongly around the turn. Did not particularly care for his chances in the Travers as I projected a much faster pace. Didn't happen. (As the races get longer, pace figures get more useless.)
BIRDSTONE pretty much faced a pace scenario (at least for the first 3/4 m) similar to the Belmont Stakes. I would be interested to see how he would perform in a BC Classic with a .23; .46 2/5; 1:10 pace scenario.
Good Luck,
Joe B.