Re: Deaf Frogs (353 Views)
Date: March 31, 2005 04:17PM
TGJB,
>It's not a question of resistance. It's a question of doing the research, looking at the evidence, and coming up with a conclusion. If the study had shown different results, a lot of people would be agreeing with you.<
This is the kind of comment that gets us into trouble. :-)
You are pretty much looking at one set of evidence to the exclusion of all others because you believe so strongly that your figures are the way, light, and truth and can explain everything.
A few other very competent people (like Beyer and Davidowitz) are looking at other things and are coming to different conclusions because they must think the figures and other factors can't explain away some of the terrible historical ROI data.
I am looking at both and it seems obvious to me that neither side has a solid case. So the default value for me is caution and extra margin of safety.
By the way, I defintely agree that you will get more out of the horse long term if you use fewer preps, but that's more of an ownership issue. They all want the Roses.
Post Edited (03-31-05 16:22)